SOCIO-ECONOMIC FACTORS’ EFFECTIVENESS IN ESTIMATING TRIP GENERATION AND ATTRACTION OF AN EDUCATIONAL LANDUSE

Abstract

The traditional approach used by transport planners in developed countries to estimate traffic generated and attracted by residential land uses has been largely based on the socio-economic characteristics of the urban trip markers. This is due to the assumption that socio-economic characteristics of the urban travelers significantly affect the level and pattern of trips they generate. This paper therefore attempts to use socio-economic characteristics to estimate trip generated and attracted by commuters of an educational land use within an urban centre of a developing environment; this was done by using multiple linear regression models. The purpose is to determine how effective are these variables in estimating and forecasting trips generated and attracted by educational land use. The results clearly show that socio-economic factors are too weak for modeling trip generation and attraction of an educational land use in a developing environment like Nigeria. The paper therefore raised some issues and questions, in which answers and solutions to them require further research.